A strong storm system in the Plains will bring the possibility of severe weather to Mid-Missouri from late Sunday afternoon through Monday night.
The first round of storms will develop in eastern Kansas and Oklahoma Sunday afternoon ahead of a surface front & dryline. These storms are likely to quickly become severe with possible rotation and will be capable of producing hail greater than 2 inches in diameter and tornadoes. The storms will move northeast, possibly affecting areas near and west of HWY 65 by early evening.
As we head into the evening hours, storms in western Missouri are expected to form a squall line and move east through Mid-Missouri in the evening and overnight. The greatest threat with these storms will be damaging wind and large hail with a decreasing threat of tornadoes as the line moves east.
Lingering storms into Monday morning will end. As skies become partly sunny, daytime heating will destabilize the atmosphere and storms are expected to develop in the afternoon and evening.
Southwestern and west-central Missouri are under a moderate risk Monday where large hail, damaging wind and tornadoes are possible. Storms will be ongoing into the evening, weakening overnight.